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May 12, 2007

We Need to Leave Iraq Now

We keep hearing from the neocons that gave us this disaster that if we leave Iraq, the whole region will go up in flames. They tell us if we leave Iraq the insurgents will follow us home. My question is this: Why should we listen to advice from these people? They have an amazing track record; they been wrong on EVERYTHING!

Here is why the occupation itself is the principle cause of the unrest and violence in Iraq:

1.    The occupation is preventing any resolution of the civil conflict.
2.    Civil wars end when one side knows it has lost. As long as we are in Iraq the insurgency will not know it has lost.
3.    As long as the occupation goes on, hope will still live in the hearts of the Sunni fighters that they can prevail.
4.    Until we leave, the Iraqi government will not be able to establish control and credibility.

The Bush administration has created a Catch-22: They tell us that we can’t leave Iraq until the Iraqi government can stand by itself; yet the Iraqi government can’t stand by itself while we are propping it up.
The solution is obvious to anyone who has ever raised a toddler: Either we stay in Iraq indefinitely (the present course) never letting them walk on their own or, more reasonably, we get out and let the Iraqi government stand on its own and find its own direction. There is likely to be a spike in sectarian violence, but once the Sunni insurgency realizes that they can’t win, they will assume a more defensive stance and a sort of tense stability is likely to return between the groups as has existed for centuries.